Vissel Kobe vs Shonan Bellmare

J1 League

J1 League

Japan : Regular Season - 23

July 5, 2025

2025-07-05 10:00 UTC

Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe

Home

4

vs

0

Match Finished

Shonan Bellmare

Away

Shonan Bellmare

Venue: NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe

Referee: Jumpei Iida, Japan

Recommended Bet

Home/Draw Win

Prediction Outcome

WON

AI Expert Analysis

Powered by the latest market data & analysis models

Prediction Summary

  • Result: Home Win (70%)

  • Goals: Home [2.3]

  • Away [0.6]

  • Reasoning: Vissel Kobe are the reigning J1 League champions with dominant form, while Shonan have key injuries to Matsubara and Daiya Toni , compounding their relegation battle struggles.

Recommended Bets

. Home Win

Champions' momentum and quality difference is massive - Vissel are top 4 while Shonan sit 17th.

. Under 2.5 Goals

Vissel Kobe scores 22% of their goals between minutes 31-45

and may control tempo against defensive opponents.

Value Opportunity

Vissel Kobe -1 Asian Handicap

Recent 3-0 home victory against Shonan in December 2024 shows capability for comfortable wins, yet market may underestimate injury crisis impact.

Critical Factors

  • – .
  • – Shonan's Crisis: "Everything screams wrong with the lineup" and "All eyes are on the new coach who began on the wrong foot with the fans"
  • – - team morale at rock bottom.
  • – .
  • – Historical Dominance: Vissel have won 5 of last 10 home meetings with 16-12 goal difference
  • – - psychological edge is significant.
  • – .
  • – Relegation Pressure: Teams like Nagoya, FC Tokyo and Yokohama F.Marinos "inexplicably floundering" could intensify pressure on Shonan
  • – as safety net shrinks.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Low

Main Risk

Vissel's potential complacency after already securing top-4 position could lead to rotation and reduced intensity. - Confidence Score: 8

Confidence

8/10

Analysis generated on: July 2, 2025 18:31 UTC

Data sources reviewed: 4

Bookmakers Odds

1xBet Featured Odds

Match Winner

Home
1.54
Draw
4.18
Away
6.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
2.47

Odds provided by 1xBet. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

Match Winner

Home
1.55
Draw
4.00
Away
5.75

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.13
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
2.37

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.30
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.83
Over 3.5
3.10
Under 3.5
1.32
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.50
Over 4.5
5.75
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 5.5
11.50
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.00

Match Winner

Home
1.53
Draw
3.95
Away
6.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
2.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.40
Over 2.5
1.93
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.35
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
6.50
Under 4.5
1.10

Match Winner

Home
1.53
Draw
3.80
Away
6.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
2.40

Match Winner

Home
1.53
Draw
4.20
Away
6.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.38

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.90
Under 2.5
1.90
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
11.00
Over 4.5
6.50
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
29.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.53
Draw
4.15
Away
6.20

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.26
Under 1.5
3.32
Over 1.75
1.32
Under 1.75
3.02
Over 2.0
1.42
Under 2.0
2.64
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.13
Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.89
Over 2.75
2.13
Under 2.75
1.65
Over 3.5
3.16
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.00
Under 0.5
9.50
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
9.00
Over 1.0
1.01
Under 1.0
8.30
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
4.60
Over 3.0
2.54
Under 3.0
1.45
Over 4.5
5.95
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 3.25
2.83
Under 3.25
1.36
Over 3.75
3.86
Under 3.75
1.19
Over 4.0
5.25
Under 4.0
1.09
Over 4.25
5.60
Under 4.25
1.08

Match Winner

Home
1.46
Draw
4.20
Away
6.50

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.11
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.55

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.29
Under 1.5
3.45
Over 1.75
1.38
Under 1.75
2.90
Over 2.0
1.49
Under 2.0
2.50
Over 2.25
1.73
Under 2.25
2.05
Over 2.5
1.98
Under 2.5
1.80
Over 2.75
2.23
Under 2.75
1.60
Over 3.5
3.70
Under 3.5
1.26
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
11.50
Over 3.0
2.80
Under 3.0
1.41
Over 4.5
8.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 3.25
3.15
Under 3.25
1.33
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.03

Match Winner

Home
1.50
Draw
4.00
Away
6.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.60
Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.80
Over 3.5
3.30
Under 3.5
1.29
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.62
Draw
4.00
Away
5.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.25
1.83
Under 2.25
2.07
Over 2.5
2.06
Under 2.5
1.84

Match Winner

Home
1.55
Draw
4.05
Away
6.30

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
2.45

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.75
Over 2.0
1.45
Under 2.0
2.80
Over 2.5
1.95
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.20
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
10.50
Over 1.0
1.07
Under 1.0
8.50
Over 3.0
2.60
Under 3.0
1.50
Over 4.5
5.90
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 4.0
5.20
Under 4.0
1.16

Match Winner

Home
1.50
Draw
3.93
Away
6.09

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.08
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
2.45

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.25
1.73
Under 2.25
2.14
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.94
Over 2.75
2.25
Under 2.75
1.66

Match Winner

Home
1.54
Draw
4.18
Away
6.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
2.47

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.26
Under 1.5
3.32
Over 1.75
1.32
Under 1.75
3.02
Over 2.0
1.42
Under 2.0
2.64
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.13
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.90
Over 2.75
2.13
Under 2.75
1.65
Over 3.5
3.16
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
10.30
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
9.00
Over 1.0
1.01
Under 1.0
8.30
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
4.60
Over 3.0
2.54
Under 3.0
1.45
Over 4.5
5.95
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 3.25
2.83
Under 3.25
1.36
Over 3.75
3.86
Under 3.75
1.19
Over 4.0
5.25
Under 4.0
1.09
Over 4.25
5.60
Under 4.25
1.08
Over 5.0
10.50
Under 5.0
1.03
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
29.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.60
Draw
4.25
Away
6.10

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.16
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
2.45

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 1.75
1.38
Under 1.75
3.15
Over 2.0
1.47
Under 2.0
2.77
Over 2.25
1.70
Under 2.25
2.20
Over 2.5
1.93
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 2.75
2.20
Under 2.75
1.72
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
9.25
Over 3.0
2.65
Under 3.0
1.52
Over 4.5
6.00
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 3.25
3.00
Under 3.25
1.42
Over 5.5
10.75
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
16.00
Under 6.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
1.55
Draw
3.80
Away
5.75

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.13
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
2.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.29
Under 1.5
3.30
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.20
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
5.75
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 5.5
10.00
Under 5.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
1.53
Draw
3.80
Away
6.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.13
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
2.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 3.5
3.20
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
6.00
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.03

Match Winner

Home
1.56
Draw
4.15
Away
6.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.75
1.36
Under 1.75
3.17
Over 2.0
1.46
Under 2.0
2.78
Over 2.25
1.74
Under 2.25
2.19
Over 2.5
1.96
Under 2.5
1.94
Over 2.75
2.28
Under 2.75
1.68
Over 3.0
2.72
Under 3.0
1.48
Over 3.25
3.00
Under 3.25
1.40

Match Winner

Home
1.54
Draw
4.14
Away
6.65

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
3.59
Over 2.0
1.48
Under 2.0
2.76
Over 2.25
1.72
Under 2.25
2.19
Over 2.5
1.96
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 2.75
2.23
Under 2.75
1.69
Over 3.5
3.39
Under 3.5
1.34
Over 3.0
2.70
Under 3.0
1.49
Over 4.5
6.83
Under 4.5
1.12

Match Winner

Home
1.57
Draw
4.10
Away
5.80

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.14
Home/Away
1.24
Draw/Away
2.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.60
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.90
Over 3.5
3.30
Under 3.5
1.34
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
6.40
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
29.00

Match Winner

Home
1.50
Draw
3.90
Away
6.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.06
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.83
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.20
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
10.50
Over 4.5
5.80
Under 4.5
1.09
Over 5.5
8.50
Under 5.5
1.03

Main Factors Weight Scores

Head to Head Score

Home

7.63

Away

3.21

Tactical Analysis

Home

4.28

Away

8.04

Recent Teams Form Score

Home

6.91

Away

3.09

Home vs Away Strength

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Defensive Strength

Home

7.24

Away

5.11

Attacking Strength

Home

2.76

Away

1.76

Home Advantage

Home

5.50

Away

5.18

Motivation

Home

7.71

Away

6.93

League Position

Home

6.20

Away

1.94

Injuries and Suspension

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Weather Impact

Home

5.00

Away

5.00

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