FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire

Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer

USA : Regular Season - 21

July 5, 2025

2025-07-05 23:30 UTC

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

Home

2

vs

1

Match Finished

Chicago Fire

Away

Chicago Fire

Venue: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA

Recommended Bet

Home/Draw Win

Prediction Outcome

WON

AI Expert Analysis

Powered by the latest market data & analysis models

Prediction Summary

  • Result: Home Win (70%)

  • Goals: Home [2.4]

  • Away [1.2]

  • Reasoning: FC Cincinnati's strong home momentum against Chicago combined with Chicago's poor defensive record with only one clean sheet all season favors a confident home victory.

Recommended Bets

. FC Cincinnati Win

Cincinnati is 5-1-1 in matches played in Chicago

showing historical dominance, while

Berhalter's new tactical system is still being implemented

. Over 2.5 Goals

Chicago Fire averages high-scoring victories but struggles defensively

, and both teams have attacking firepower.

Value Opportunity

Both Teams to Score

Chicago has 28 shots on target away from home, leading the Eastern Conference , while Cincinnati has conceded more shots on the road, suggesting Chicago can breach the defense.

Critical Factors

  • – .
  • – Evander's Hot Streak: The All-Star midfielder is on fire with back-to-back braces
  • – , providing Cincinnati with a decisive attacking edge at a crucial time.
  • – .
  • – Tactical Transition: Chicago is still adapting to Berhalter's new system
  • – , which typically requires time to fully implement—a vulnerability Cincinnati can exploit.
  • – .
  • – Key Absences: Cincinnati missing Miles Robinson (international duty), Nick Hagglund (chest), and Yuya Kubo (ankle)
  • – weakens their defensive structure significantly.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Medium

Main Risk

Chicago Fire arrives "with a thirst for revenge against the Orange and Blue" after previous defeats, potentially inspiring an upset performance. - Confidence Score: 7

Confidence

7/10

Analysis generated on: July 4, 2025 23:05 UTC

Data sources reviewed: 4

Bookmakers Odds

1xBet Featured Odds

Match Winner

Home
1.88
Draw
4.00
Away
3.40

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.85

Odds provided by 1xBet. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

Match Winner

Home
1.88
Draw
4.00
Away
3.40

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.25
Over 2.5
1.43
Under 2.5
2.60
Over 3.5
2.05
Under 3.5
1.68
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
16.00
Over 4.5
3.30
Under 4.5
1.28
Over 5.5
6.00
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
11.00
Under 6.5
1.03

Match Winner

Home
1.89
Draw
4.20
Away
3.45

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.18
Draw/Away
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.75
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.75
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.73
Over 4.5
3.45
Under 4.5
1.30
Over 5.5
6.25
Under 5.5
1.11

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
3.90
Away
3.40

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.91

Match Winner

Home
1.90
Draw
4.20
Away
3.30

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.33
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
6.00
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.70
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
21.00
Over 8.5
51.00
Under 8.5
1.00
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.28
Over 7.5
26.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
13.00
Under 6.5
1.04

Match Winner

Home
1.88
Draw
4.15
Away
3.54

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.92

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.08
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 1.75
1.10
Under 1.75
5.10
Over 2.0
1.12
Under 2.0
4.65
Over 2.25
1.26
Under 2.25
3.26
Over 2.5
1.40
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 2.75
1.49
Under 2.75
2.40
Over 3.5
2.12
Under 3.5
1.72
Over 3.0
1.63
Under 3.0
2.13
Over 4.5
3.32
Under 4.5
1.26
Over 3.25
1.86
Under 3.25
1.86
Over 3.75
2.36
Under 3.75
1.53
Over 4.0
2.79
Under 4.0
1.38
Over 4.25
3.08
Under 4.25
1.31
Over 4.75
4.05
Under 4.75
1.17
Over 5.0
5.30
Under 5.0
1.09
Over 5.5
5.95
Under 5.5
1.07
Over 5.25
5.65
Under 5.25
1.08
Over 6.0
9.30
Under 6.0
1.00

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
3.90
Away
3.40

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.75
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 2.75
1.49
Under 2.75
2.60
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
19.00
Over 3.0
1.61
Under 3.0
2.30
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 3.25
1.83
Under 3.25
1.96
Over 3.75
2.33
Under 3.75
1.58
Over 4.0
2.80
Under 4.0
1.43
Over 4.25
3.05
Under 4.25
1.36
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
14.00
Under 6.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
4.10
Away
3.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
6.00
Over 2.5
1.40
Under 2.5
2.80
Over 3.5
2.05
Under 3.5
1.73
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 4.5
3.40
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 5.5
7.00
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
12.00
Under 6.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
1.94
Draw
4.20
Away
3.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5
2.07
Under 3.5
1.83
Over 3.0
1.81
Under 3.0
2.09
Over 3.25
1.94
Under 3.25
1.96
Over 3.75
2.19
Under 3.75
1.71

Match Winner

Home
1.90
Draw
4.20
Away
3.45

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.10
Over 2.0
1.22
Under 2.0
4.30
Over 2.5
1.48
Under 2.5
2.65
Over 3.5
2.12
Under 3.5
1.72
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 1.0
1.04
Under 1.0
11.50
Over 3.0
1.70
Under 3.0
2.15
Over 4.5
3.60
Under 4.5
1.30
Over 4.0
2.95
Under 4.0
1.40
Over 5.0
5.60
Under 5.0
1.14
Over 5.5
6.30
Under 5.5
1.12

Match Winner

Home
1.96
Draw
4.26
Away
3.46

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.14
Under 1.5
6.21
Over 2.5
1.45
Under 2.5
2.82
Over 2.75
1.55
Under 2.75
2.54
Over 3.5
2.17
Under 3.5
1.74
Over 3.0
1.69
Under 3.0
2.23
Over 4.5
3.72
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 3.25
1.95
Under 3.25
1.93
Over 3.75
2.49
Under 3.75
1.57
Over 4.0
2.78
Under 4.0
1.47
Over 5.5
6.97
Under 5.5
1.12

Match Winner

Home
1.92
Draw
3.78
Away
3.28

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.26
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5
2.21
Under 3.5
1.68
Over 3.0
1.68
Under 3.0
2.21
Over 3.25
1.88
Under 3.25
1.98
Over 3.75
2.33
Under 3.75
1.61

Match Winner

Home
1.98
Draw
4.25
Away
3.50

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.34
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.88

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.15
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 2.25
1.39
Under 2.25
3.10
Over 2.5
1.47
Under 2.5
2.75
Over 2.75
1.57
Under 2.75
2.47
Over 3.5
2.18
Under 3.5
1.72
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 3.0
1.72
Under 3.0
2.18
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.31
Over 3.25
1.95
Under 3.25
1.90
Over 3.75
2.47
Under 3.75
1.57
Over 4.0
3.00
Under 4.0
1.42
Over 4.25
2.95
Under 4.25
1.42
Over 7.5
15.00
Under 7.5
1.02
Over 5.5
6.10
Under 5.5
1.13
Over 6.5
10.25
Under 6.5
1.05

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
4.00
Away
3.40

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.88

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 2.5
1.42
Under 2.5
2.62
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 4.5
3.30
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 5.5
5.75
Under 5.5
1.10
Over 6.5
10.00
Under 6.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
1.83
Draw
4.10
Away
3.40

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
1.87

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.09
Under 1.5
5.80
Over 2.5
1.40
Under 2.5
2.70
Over 3.5
2.00
Under 3.5
1.70
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.07

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
3.90
Away
3.40

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.75
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
19.00
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.11

Match Winner

Home
1.92
Draw
4.15
Away
3.45

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5
1.46
Under 2.5
2.78
Over 2.75
1.56
Under 2.75
2.51
Over 3.5
2.20
Under 3.5
1.73
Over 3.0
1.68
Under 3.0
2.28
Over 3.25
1.96
Under 3.25
1.94
Over 3.75
2.47
Under 3.75
1.58
Over 4.0
2.96
Under 4.0
1.41
Over 4.25
3.00
Under 4.25
1.37

Match Winner

Home
1.90
Draw
4.15
Away
3.55

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.92

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
6.10
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.82
Over 3.5
2.07
Under 3.5
1.76
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
20.00
Over 4.5
3.45
Under 4.5
1.32
Over 5.5
6.20
Under 5.5
1.13
Over 6.5
12.00
Under 6.5
1.04

Main Factors Weight Scores

Head to Head Score

Home

7.31

Away

4.24

Tactical Analysis

Home

3.94

Away

10.00

Recent Teams Form Score

Home

6.11

Away

3.89

Home vs Away Strength

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Defensive Strength

Home

7.42

Away

5.10

Attacking Strength

Home

2.96

Away

2.57

Home Advantage

Home

5.50

Away

8.44

Motivation

Home

6.42

Away

5.17

League Position

Home

6.30

Away

4.05

Injuries and Suspension

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Weather Impact

Home

5.00

Away

5.00

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