Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution

Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer

USA : Regular Season - 21

July 6, 2025

2025-07-06 02:30 UTC

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

Home

2

vs

1

Match Finished

New England Revolution

Away

New England Revolution

Venue: Providence Park, Portland, Oregon

Referee: Jon Freemon

Recommended Bet

Home/Draw Win

Prediction Outcome

WON

AI Expert Analysis

Powered by the latest market data & analysis models

Prediction Summary

  • Result: Home Win (62%)

  • Goals: Home [2.2]

  • Away [0.9]

  • Reasoning: Portland's nine-game home unbeaten run at Providence Park combined with New England's ongoing struggles under Caleb Porter creates a significant advantage for the hosts.

Recommended Bets

. Portland Timbers Win

Timbers haven't lost at Providence Park since their season opener

while

New England is the only MLS team without a goal in their first three games

. Under 2.5 Goals

Revolution's historic 3-3 comeback draw shows resilience but still secured just one point from their homestand

, suggesting defensive struggles on both sides.

Value Opportunity

Portland -1 Asian Handicap

Dating back to 2024, New England has gone seven matches without a win while Portland's home dominance remains intact despite missing key players.

Critical Factors

  • – .
  • – Caleb Porter's job security concerns after beginning the season with just one win in six games before a temporary revival
  • – - pressure mounting with recent poor home form.
  • – .
  • – Portland's star winger Antony out with muscle injury
  • – but
  • – Timbers finished 2024 with most goals in club history (65)
  • – showing depth in attack.
  • – .
  • – Historic five consecutive draws between these teams dating back to 2016
  • – - however, current form suggests this streak will end.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Medium

Main Risk

Carles Gil's recent scoring form (7 goals) after breaking six-game drought could spark a Revolution turnaround on the road. - Confidence Score: 7

Confidence

7/10

Analysis generated on: July 4, 2025 23:10 UTC

Data sources reviewed: 4

Bookmakers Odds

1xBet Featured Odds

Match Winner

Home
2.10
Draw
3.70
Away
3.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.37
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
1.68

Odds provided by 1xBet. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

Match Winner

Home
2.10
Draw
3.70
Away
3.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.37
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
1.68

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
4.50
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 3.5
2.30
Under 3.5
1.53
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
3.90
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 5.5
7.25
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
14.00
Under 6.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
2.12
Draw
3.75
Away
3.15

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.35
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.75
Over 2.5
1.55
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 3.5
2.35
Under 3.5
1.57
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
4.20
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 5.5
7.50
Under 5.5
1.08

Match Winner

Home
2.05
Draw
3.80
Away
3.10

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.70

Match Winner

Home
2.00
Draw
4.00
Away
3.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.33
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.57
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
19.00
Over 4.5
4.00
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 7.5
29.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
8.00
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
2.10
Draw
3.75
Away
3.20

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.35
Home/Away
1.27
Draw/Away
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 1.75
1.16
Under 1.75
4.50
Over 2.0
1.20
Under 2.0
4.00
Over 2.25
1.37
Under 2.25
2.88
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 2.75
1.66
Under 2.75
2.11
Over 3.5
2.31
Under 3.5
1.51
Over 1.25
1.04
Under 1.25
7.20
Over 3.0
1.85
Under 3.0
1.85
Over 4.5
4.15
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 3.25
2.09
Under 3.25
1.64
Over 3.75
2.73
Under 3.75
1.36
Over 4.0
3.42
Under 4.0
1.23
Over 4.25
3.80
Under 4.25
1.19
Over 4.75
5.25
Under 4.75
1.09
Over 5.0
7.40
Under 5.0
1.03
Over 5.5
8.30
Under 5.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
2.07
Draw
3.85
Away
3.10

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.16
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 2.25
1.43
Under 2.25
2.80
Over 2.5
1.58
Under 2.5
2.35
Over 2.75
1.74
Under 2.75
2.08
Over 3.5
2.50
Under 3.5
1.52
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 3.0
1.96
Under 3.0
1.83
Over 4.5
4.60
Under 4.5
1.19
Over 3.25
2.23
Under 3.25
1.65
Over 3.75
2.90
Under 3.75
1.40
Over 5.5
9.50
Under 5.5
1.05

Match Winner

Home
2.00
Draw
3.75
Away
3.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 3.5
2.30
Under 3.5
1.57
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 4.5
4.20
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 5.5
8.00
Under 5.5
1.06
Over 6.5
13.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
2.06
Draw
3.95
Away
3.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.0
1.91
Under 3.0
1.99

Match Winner

Home
2.05
Draw
3.85
Away
3.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.35
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.77

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.20
Under 1.5
4.60
Over 2.0
1.27
Under 2.0
3.80
Over 2.5
1.58
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 3.5
2.35
Under 3.5
1.60
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
12.50
Over 1.0
1.05
Under 1.0
10.00
Over 3.0
1.88
Under 3.0
1.92
Over 4.5
4.15
Under 4.5
1.23
Over 4.0
3.45
Under 4.0
1.30

Match Winner

Home
2.13
Draw
3.91
Away
3.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.29
Over 2.25
1.48
Under 2.25
2.74
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
2.49
Over 2.75
1.70
Under 2.75
2.23
Over 3.5
2.40
Under 3.5
1.61
Over 3.0
1.91
Under 3.0
1.98
Over 4.5
4.22
Under 4.5
1.24
Over 3.25
2.15
Under 3.25
1.75

Match Winner

Home
2.08
Draw
3.53
Away
3.08

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5
1.65
Under 2.5
2.26
Over 2.75
1.65
Under 2.75
2.26
Over 3.0
1.88
Under 3.0
1.98
Over 3.25
2.17
Under 3.25
1.71

Match Winner

Home
2.10
Draw
4.05
Away
3.30

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.37
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.90
Over 2.25
1.42
Under 2.25
3.00
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
2.50
Over 2.75
1.70
Under 2.75
2.22
Over 3.5
2.37
Under 3.5
1.62
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 3.0
1.88
Under 3.0
1.98
Over 4.5
4.00
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 3.25
2.12
Under 3.25
1.75
Over 3.75
2.77
Under 3.75
1.47
Over 7.5
16.50
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
7.10
Under 5.5
1.10
Over 6.5
11.75
Under 6.5
1.04

Match Winner

Home
2.05
Draw
3.75
Away
3.20

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.35
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.78

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.15
Under 1.5
4.75
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.57
Over 0.5
1.00
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 4.5
3.80
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
12.00
Under 6.5
1.00

Match Winner

Home
2.00
Draw
3.70
Away
3.20

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
4.90
Over 2.5
1.50
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 3.5
2.20
Under 3.5
1.60
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 4.5
4.20
Under 4.5
1.18
Over 5.5
7.80
Under 5.5
1.04

Match Winner

Home
2.10
Draw
3.60
Away
3.10

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
4.80
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 3.5
2.30
Under 3.5
1.53
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 4.5
4.00
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 5.5
8.00
Under 5.5
1.08

Match Winner

Home
2.08
Draw
3.90
Away
3.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.25
1.39
Under 2.25
3.04
Over 2.5
1.56
Under 2.5
2.51
Over 2.75
1.71
Under 2.75
2.23
Over 3.5
2.44
Under 3.5
1.59
Over 3.0
1.93
Under 3.0
1.97
Over 3.25
2.20
Under 3.25
1.73
Over 3.75
2.85
Under 3.75
1.44

Match Winner

Home
2.07
Draw
3.80
Away
3.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.34
Home/Away
1.27
Draw/Away
1.76

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.10
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.52
Over 3.5
2.27
Under 3.5
1.63
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 4.5
3.90
Under 4.5
1.26
Over 5.5
7.20
Under 5.5
1.10
Over 6.5
14.00
Under 6.5
1.03

Main Factors Weight Scores

Head to Head Score

Home

6.40

Away

4.56

Tactical Analysis

Home

4.13

Away

10.00

Recent Teams Form Score

Home

5.35

Away

4.65

Home vs Away Strength

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Defensive Strength

Home

6.11

Away

4.26

Attacking Strength

Home

2.59

Away

1.75

Home Advantage

Home

5.50

Away

9.04

Motivation

Home

4.89

Away

5.45

League Position

Home

4.87

Away

2.54

Injuries and Suspension

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Weather Impact

Home

5.00

Away

5.00

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