Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata
J1 League
Japan : Regular Season - 23
July 5, 2025
2025-07-05 10:00 UTC
Kyoto Sanga
Home
2
vs
1
Match Finished
Albirex Niigata
Away
Venue: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Referee: Keigo Sendachi, Japan
Recommended Bet
Home/Draw Win
Prediction Outcome
WON
AI Expert Analysis
Powered by the latest market data & analysis models
Prediction Summary
-
Result: Home Win (70%)
-
Goals: Home [2.2]
-
Away [0.6]
-
Reasoning: Rafael Elias has transformed Kyoto's season with 11 goals in 12 starts from 7.4 xG , while Albirex Niigata's form is Very Poor overall with 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses .
Recommended Bets
. Kyoto Sanga Win
Kyoto just won 3-0 against FC Tokyo and 3-1 against Gamba Osaka
, showing strong home form against quality opposition.
. Under 2.5 Goals
Albirex Niigata has a ratio of 40% Over 2.5 goals
and
both managers try to keep things tight, reducing open-play scoring chances
Value Opportunity
Kyoto Clean Sheet
Albirex's home form is very poor with 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses and have scored only 16 goals this season , suggesting major attacking problems away from home.
Critical Factors
- – .
- – Manager Cho Kwi-jae has been confirmed to be staying on for 2025
- – despite criticism of his
- – 010s Bundesliga pressing style that seems stale
- – - this suggests tactical inflexibility that Kyoto can exploit.
- – .
- – Rafael Elias transformed into Ronaldo Fenomeno with 11 goals in 12 starts
- – for Kyoto - his hot form is the key difference maker that saved their season.
- – .
- – Albirex haven't changed their style of play but things have gone a bit stale and they continue to lack that "X factor"
- – - their possession-based approach lacks penetration in the final third.
Risk Assessment
Risk Level
Medium
Main Risk
Kyoto are not good and things might take another turn for the worse next season once Elias' hot form dissipates - if Elias has an off day, Kyoto's attack could struggle significantly. - Confidence Score: 7
Confidence
7/10
Analysis generated on: July 2, 2025 19:16 UTC
Data sources reviewed: 4
Bookmakers Odds
1xBet Featured Odds
Match Winner
Home
1.95
Draw
3.62
Away
3.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.26
Home/Away
1.29
Draw/Away
1.86
Odds provided by 1xBet. Please gamble responsibly. 18+
Match Winner
Home
1.85
Draw
3.60
Away
3.90
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.24
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.88
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.30
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.83
Over 3.5
3.10
Under 3.5
1.32
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.25
Over 4.5
5.75
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 5.5
11.50
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Match Winner
Home
1.85
Draw
3.50
Away
4.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.90
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.45
Over 2.5
1.90
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
6.25
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Winner
Home
1.85
Draw
3.40
Away
3.80
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.85
Match Winner
Home
1.85
Draw
3.60
Away
3.90
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.91
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.90
Under 2.5
1.90
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
11.00
Over 4.5
6.50
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
29.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Match Winner
Home
1.91
Draw
3.60
Away
3.94
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.29
Draw/Away
1.89
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.26
Under 1.5
3.32
Over 1.75
1.33
Under 1.75
2.97
Over 2.0
1.42
Under 2.0
2.64
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.13
Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.89
Over 2.75
2.11
Under 2.75
1.66
Over 3.5
3.08
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
8.70
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
8.30
Over 1.0
1.03
Under 1.0
7.70
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
4.50
Over 3.0
2.51
Under 3.0
1.46
Over 4.5
5.70
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 3.25
2.82
Under 3.25
1.36
Over 3.75
3.74
Under 3.75
1.20
Over 4.0
5.00
Under 4.0
1.10
Over 4.25
5.35
Under 4.25
1.09
Match Winner
Home
1.91
Draw
3.55
Away
3.70
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.26
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.83
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.60
Over 1.75
1.35
Under 1.75
3.05
Over 2.0
1.46
Under 2.0
2.65
Over 2.25
1.70
Under 2.25
2.10
Over 2.5
1.94
Under 2.5
1.82
Over 2.75
2.20
Under 2.75
1.63
Over 3.5
3.55
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
11.50
Over 3.0
2.65
Under 3.0
1.44
Over 4.5
7.50
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 3.25
3.05
Under 3.25
1.35
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Match Winner
Home
1.85
Draw
3.50
Away
4.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.60
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.30
Under 3.5
1.29
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
6.50
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Match Winner
Home
2.02
Draw
3.50
Away
3.70
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.25
1.76
Under 2.25
2.14
Over 2.5
2.01
Under 2.5
1.89
Match Winner
Home
1.88
Draw
3.65
Away
4.05
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.92
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.75
Over 2.0
1.42
Under 2.0
2.85
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.88
Over 3.5
3.10
Under 3.5
1.37
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
10.50
Over 1.0
1.07
Under 1.0
8.50
Over 3.0
2.50
Under 3.0
1.53
Over 4.5
6.00
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 4.0
5.20
Under 4.0
1.16
Match Winner
Home
1.89
Draw
3.71
Away
4.13
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.66
Over 1.75
1.44
Under 1.75
2.94
Over 2.0
1.47
Under 2.0
2.80
Over 2.25
1.71
Under 2.25
2.21
Over 2.5
1.96
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 2.75
2.23
Under 2.75
1.69
Over 3.5
3.42
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 3.0
2.72
Under 3.0
1.49
Over 4.5
6.71
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Winner
Home
1.88
Draw
3.41
Away
3.80
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.19
Home/Away
1.24
Draw/Away
1.94
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.0
1.53
Under 2.0
2.44
Over 2.25
1.71
Under 2.25
2.17
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.94
Over 2.75
2.16
Under 2.75
1.72
Match Winner
Home
1.95
Draw
3.62
Away
3.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.26
Home/Away
1.29
Draw/Away
1.86
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.26
Under 1.5
3.32
Over 1.75
1.32
Under 1.75
3.02
Over 2.0
1.42
Under 2.0
2.64
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.13
Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 2.75
2.10
Under 2.75
1.67
Over 3.5
3.08
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
8.80
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
8.30
Over 1.0
1.02
Under 1.0
7.70
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
4.50
Over 3.0
2.49
Under 3.0
1.47
Over 4.5
5.65
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 3.25
2.79
Under 3.25
1.37
Over 3.75
3.64
Under 3.75
1.21
Over 4.0
4.95
Under 4.0
1.11
Over 4.25
5.30
Under 4.25
1.09
Over 5.0
10.00
Under 5.0
1.03
Over 5.5
12.50
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
29.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Match Winner
Home
1.90
Draw
3.65
Away
4.05
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.26
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.95
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
3.45
Over 1.75
1.39
Under 1.75
3.15
Over 2.0
1.50
Under 2.0
2.70
Over 2.25
1.72
Under 2.25
2.18
Over 2.5
1.95
Under 2.5
1.90
Over 2.75
2.22
Under 2.75
1.70
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.34
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 3.0
2.67
Under 3.0
1.50
Over 4.5
6.10
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 3.25
3.00
Under 3.25
1.42
Over 5.5
10.75
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
16.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Match Winner
Home
1.85
Draw
3.60
Away
3.80
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.95
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.29
Under 1.5
3.40
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.00
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
5.50
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 5.5
10.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Match Winner
Home
1.80
Draw
3.60
Away
3.90
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.18
Home/Away
1.27
Draw/Away
1.87
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.83
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.20
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
9.50
Over 4.5
5.80
Under 4.5
1.09
Over 5.5
8.20
Under 5.5
1.04
Match Winner
Home
1.85
Draw
3.40
Away
3.80
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.85
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.29
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
6.00
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Match Winner
Home
1.95
Draw
3.65
Away
3.80
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
3.43
Over 1.75
1.35
Under 1.75
3.22
Over 2.0
1.45
Under 2.0
2.81
Over 2.25
1.71
Under 2.25
2.23
Over 2.5
1.95
Under 2.5
1.95
Over 2.75
2.26
Under 2.75
1.69
Over 3.0
2.66
Under 3.0
1.50
Over 3.25
3.00
Under 3.25
1.40
Main Factors Weight Scores
Head to Head Score
Home
5.65
Away
4.66
Tactical Analysis
Home
5.08
Away
9.14
Recent Teams Form Score
Home
6.53
Away
3.47
Home vs Away Strength
Home
0.00
Away
0.00
Defensive Strength
Home
6.71
Away
4.64
Attacking Strength
Home
3.59
Away
1.81
Home Advantage
Home
5.50
Away
4.26
Motivation
Home
8.10
Away
7.04
League Position
Home
5.36
Away
0.80
Injuries and Suspension
Home
0.00
Away
0.00
Weather Impact
Home
5.00
Away
5.00