Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo

J1 League

J1 League

Japan : Regular Season - 23

July 5, 2025

2025-07-05 10:00 UTC

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

Home

1

vs

0

Match Finished

FC Tokyo

Away

FC Tokyo

Venue: SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Referee: Koki Nagamine, Japan

Recommended Bet

Home/Draw Win

Prediction Outcome

WON

AI Expert Analysis

Powered by the latest market data & analysis models

Prediction Summary

  • Result: Home Win (70%)

  • Goals: Home [2.3]

  • Away [0.7]

  • Reasoning: Ricardo Rodriguez's tactical transformation of Kashiwa Reysol from relegation battlers to title contenders , combined with FC Tokyo's historical struggles having been relegated to J2 in the past and their current poor form, strongly favors the home side.

Recommended Bets

. Home Win

Ricardo Rodriguez, recognized as J-League's best coach in 2021, has drastically transformed Kashiwa's fortunes

, while FC Tokyo sits in relegation danger.

. Under 2.5 Goals

Kashiwa Reysol boasts one of the strongest defensive records in the J-League

and

matches involving teams in poor form like FC Tokyo often are characterized by low scoring

Value Opportunity

Kashiwa to Win to Nil

In 11 matches Kashiwa Reysol has not lost the goal showing exceptional defensive stability, while FC Tokyo's away struggles and attacking impotence make a clean sheet highly likely.

Critical Factors

  • – .
  • – Manager Impact: Ricardo Rodriguez, who won the Emperor's Cup with Urawa and was declared J1's best coach in 2021
  • – , has revolutionized Kashiwa's approach from counter-attacking to a more dominant style.
  • – .
  • – Key Absences: Kashiwa's top scorer Mao Hosoya and creative midfielder Koki Kyumasa are away on international duty
  • – , but the team's depth under Rodriguez should compensate.
  • – .
  • – Trophy Drought Motivation: Kashiwa hasn't won silverware since the 2013 J-League Cup and is heavily invested in breaking this 12-year drought
  • – , adding extra psychological edge.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Low

Main Risk

Kashiwa has been somewhat less dominant at home compared to their away form , which could lead to unexpected dropped points against a desperate FC Tokyo fighting relegation. - Confidence Score: 8

Confidence

8/10

Analysis generated on: July 2, 2025 19:00 UTC

Data sources reviewed: 4

Bookmakers Odds

1xBet Featured Odds

Match Winner

Home
1.82
Draw
3.90
Away
4.12

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.23
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.98

Odds provided by 1xBet. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

Match Winner

Home
1.82
Draw
3.70
Away
3.90

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.24
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
1.93

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.60
Over 2.5
1.75
Under 2.5
1.93
Over 3.5
2.87
Under 3.5
1.36
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
10.50
Over 4.5
5.25
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 5.5
10.50
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.00

Match Winner

Home
1.83
Draw
3.65
Away
4.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.93

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.80
Over 2.5
1.80
Under 2.5
2.00
Over 3.5
2.95
Under 3.5
1.38
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.50
Over 4.5
5.75
Under 4.5
1.13

Match Winner

Home
1.83
Draw
3.60
Away
3.80

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.29
Draw/Away
1.91

Match Winner

Home
1.83
Draw
3.80
Away
3.80

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
4.00
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.08
Over 3.5
2.75
Under 3.5
1.40
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
5.50
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.81
Draw
3.88
Away
4.10

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.24
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
3.74
Over 1.75
1.26
Under 1.75
3.40
Over 2.0
1.33
Under 2.0
3.02
Over 2.25
1.54
Under 2.25
2.34
Over 2.5
1.78
Under 2.5
2.03
Over 2.75
1.93
Under 2.75
1.79
Over 3.5
2.83
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 0.75
1.00
Under 0.75
9.30
Over 1.0
1.00
Under 1.0
9.70
Over 1.25
1.10
Under 1.25
5.25
Over 3.0
2.27
Under 3.0
1.56
Over 4.5
5.20
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
2.54
Under 3.25
1.44
Over 3.75
3.40
Under 3.75
1.24
Over 4.0
4.50
Under 4.0
1.13
Over 4.25
4.85
Under 4.25
1.11
Over 4.75
6.55
Under 4.75
1.05
Over 5.0
9.30
Under 5.0
1.00

Match Winner

Home
1.72
Draw
3.80
Away
4.30

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
2.02

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.23
Under 1.5
3.95
Over 1.75
1.30
Under 1.75
3.30
Over 2.0
1.38
Under 2.0
2.90
Over 2.25
1.58
Under 2.25
2.28
Over 2.5
1.81
Under 2.5
1.96
Over 2.75
2.02
Under 2.75
1.74
Over 3.5
3.15
Under 3.5
1.34
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 3.0
2.40
Under 3.0
1.53
Over 4.5
6.40
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
2.70
Under 3.25
1.43
Over 5.5
12.00
Under 5.5
1.04

Match Winner

Home
1.70
Draw
3.90
Away
4.60

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.20
Under 1.5
4.00
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.00
Over 3.5
2.88
Under 3.5
1.36
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
11.00
Over 4.5
5.50
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.76
Draw
4.00
Away
4.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
2.05

Match Winner

Home
1.80
Draw
3.90
Away
4.15

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.23
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
4.10
Over 2.0
1.35
Under 2.0
3.15
Over 2.5
1.80
Under 2.5
2.00
Over 3.5
2.85
Under 3.5
1.43
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
11.50
Over 1.0
1.06
Under 1.0
9.50
Over 3.0
2.30
Under 3.0
1.62
Over 4.5
5.30
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 4.0
4.50
Under 4.0
1.20

Match Winner

Home
1.88
Draw
3.88
Away
4.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
4.16
Over 1.75
1.41
Under 1.75
2.88
Over 2.0
1.38
Under 2.0
3.15
Over 2.25
1.58
Under 2.25
2.45
Over 2.5
1.80
Under 2.5
2.08
Over 2.75
2.03
Under 2.75
1.85
Over 3.5
3.06
Under 3.5
1.40
Over 3.0
2.40
Under 3.0
1.61
Over 4.5
5.98
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 3.25
2.74
Under 3.25
1.48

Match Winner

Home
1.84
Draw
3.50
Away
3.85

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.19
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.99

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.25
1.61
Under 2.25
2.29
Over 2.5
1.77
Under 2.5
2.09
Over 2.75
2.01
Under 2.75
1.85
Over 3.0
2.38
Under 3.0
1.58

Match Winner

Home
1.82
Draw
3.90
Away
4.12

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.23
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.98

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
3.74
Over 1.75
1.26
Under 1.75
3.40
Over 2.0
1.33
Under 2.0
3.02
Over 2.25
1.54
Under 2.25
2.34
Over 2.5
1.79
Under 2.5
2.04
Over 2.75
1.93
Under 2.75
1.79
Over 3.5
2.83
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
11.50
Over 0.75
1.00
Under 0.75
9.30
Over 1.0
1.05
Under 1.0
8.70
Over 1.25
1.10
Under 1.25
5.25
Over 3.0
2.27
Under 3.0
1.56
Over 4.5
5.20
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
2.54
Under 3.25
1.44
Over 3.75
3.40
Under 3.75
1.24
Over 4.0
4.50
Under 4.0
1.13
Over 4.25
4.85
Under 4.25
1.11
Over 4.75
6.55
Under 4.75
1.05
Over 5.0
9.30
Under 5.0
1.00
Over 7.5
50.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
3.95
Away
4.05

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.85
Over 1.75
1.38
Under 1.75
3.15
Over 2.0
1.40
Under 2.0
3.10
Over 2.25
1.60
Under 2.25
2.40
Over 2.5
1.82
Under 2.5
2.05
Over 2.75
2.02
Under 2.75
1.83
Over 3.5
3.00
Under 3.5
1.42
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 3.0
2.37
Under 3.0
1.62
Over 4.5
5.30
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 3.25
2.67
Under 3.25
1.50
Over 5.5
9.50
Under 5.5
1.06
Over 6.5
14.50
Under 6.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
1.80
Draw
3.60
Away
4.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.29
Draw/Away
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
3.80
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.00
Over 3.5
2.80
Under 3.5
1.38
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
5.00
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 5.5
10.00
Under 5.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
1.75
Draw
3.70
Away
4.10

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.18
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.93

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.20
Under 1.5
3.90
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.00
Over 3.5
2.90
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
10.50
Over 4.5
5.30
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 5.5
7.80
Under 5.5
1.04

Match Winner

Home
1.83
Draw
3.60
Away
3.80

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.29
Draw/Away
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
3.90
Over 2.5
1.75
Under 2.5
2.00
Over 3.5
2.90
Under 3.5
1.36
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 4.5
5.00
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.05

Match Winner

Home
1.88
Draw
3.85
Away
3.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.75
1.30
Under 1.75
3.50
Over 2.0
1.37
Under 2.0
3.12
Over 2.25
1.57
Under 2.25
2.49
Over 2.5
1.81
Under 2.5
2.09
Over 2.75
2.01
Under 2.75
1.89
Over 3.5
3.04
Under 3.5
1.39
Over 3.0
2.38
Under 3.0
1.62
Over 3.25
2.66
Under 3.25
1.50

Match Winner

Home
1.85
Draw
3.75
Away
4.10

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.24
Home/Away
1.27
Draw/Away
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.26
Under 1.5
3.90
Over 2.5
1.78
Under 2.5
2.05
Over 3.5
2.92
Under 3.5
1.41
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 4.5
5.50
Under 4.5
1.15
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
24.00

Main Factors Weight Scores

Head to Head Score

Home

5.07

Away

4.97

Tactical Analysis

Home

3.75

Away

9.77

Recent Teams Form Score

Home

6.40

Away

3.60

Home vs Away Strength

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Defensive Strength

Home

6.09

Away

5.19

Attacking Strength

Home

2.84

Away

1.95

Home Advantage

Home

5.50

Away

4.77

Motivation

Home

7.48

Away

7.67

League Position

Home

5.58

Away

2.86

Injuries and Suspension

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Weather Impact

Home

5.00

Away

5.00

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