Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution

Major League Soccer
USA : Regular Season - 21
July 6, 2025
2025-07-06 02:30 UTC

Portland Timbers
Home
2
vs
1
New England Revolution
Away

Venue: Providence Park, Portland, Oregon
Referee: Jon Freemon
Recommended Bet
Prediction Outcome
AI Expert Analysis
Powered by the latest market data & analysis models
Prediction Summary
-
Result: Home Win (62%)
-
Goals: Home [2.2]
-
Away [0.9]
-
Reasoning: Portland's nine-game home unbeaten run at Providence Park combined with New England's ongoing struggles under Caleb Porter creates a significant advantage for the hosts.
Recommended Bets
. Portland Timbers Win
Timbers haven't lost at Providence Park since their season opener
while
New England is the only MLS team without a goal in their first three games
. Under 2.5 Goals
Revolution's historic 3-3 comeback draw shows resilience but still secured just one point from their homestand
, suggesting defensive struggles on both sides.
Value Opportunity
Portland -1 Asian Handicap
Dating back to 2024, New England has gone seven matches without a win while Portland's home dominance remains intact despite missing key players.
Critical Factors
- – .
- – Caleb Porter's job security concerns after beginning the season with just one win in six games before a temporary revival
- – - pressure mounting with recent poor home form.
- – .
- – Portland's star winger Antony out with muscle injury
- – but
- – Timbers finished 2024 with most goals in club history (65)
- – showing depth in attack.
- – .
- – Historic five consecutive draws between these teams dating back to 2016
- – - however, current form suggests this streak will end.
Risk Assessment
Medium
Carles Gil's recent scoring form (7 goals) after breaking six-game drought could spark a Revolution turnaround on the road. - Confidence Score: 7
7/10
Analysis generated on: July 4, 2025 23:10 UTC
Data sources reviewed: 4
Bookmakers Odds
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Main Factors Weight Scores
Head to Head Score
Home
6.40
Away
4.56
Tactical Analysis
Home
4.13
Away
10.00
Recent Teams Form Score
Home
5.35
Away
4.65
Home vs Away Strength
Home
0.00
Away
0.00
Defensive Strength
Home
6.11
Away
4.26
Attacking Strength
Home
2.59
Away
1.75
Home Advantage
Home
5.50
Away
9.04
Motivation
Home
4.89
Away
5.45
League Position
Home
4.87
Away
2.54
Injuries and Suspension
Home
0.00
Away
0.00
Weather Impact
Home
5.00
Away
5.00