FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
USA : Regular Season - 21
July 5, 2025
2025-07-05 23:30 UTC
FC Cincinnati
Home
2
vs
1
Match Finished
Chicago Fire
Away
Venue: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA
Recommended Bet
Home/Draw Win
Prediction Outcome
WON
AI Expert Analysis
Powered by the latest market data & analysis models
Prediction Summary
-
Result: Home Win (70%)
-
Goals: Home [2.4]
-
Away [1.2]
-
Reasoning: FC Cincinnati's strong home momentum against Chicago combined with Chicago's poor defensive record with only one clean sheet all season favors a confident home victory.
Recommended Bets
. FC Cincinnati Win
Cincinnati is 5-1-1 in matches played in Chicago
showing historical dominance, while
Berhalter's new tactical system is still being implemented
. Over 2.5 Goals
Chicago Fire averages high-scoring victories but struggles defensively
, and both teams have attacking firepower.
Value Opportunity
Both Teams to Score
Chicago has 28 shots on target away from home, leading the Eastern Conference , while Cincinnati has conceded more shots on the road, suggesting Chicago can breach the defense.
Critical Factors
- – .
- – Evander's Hot Streak: The All-Star midfielder is on fire with back-to-back braces
- – , providing Cincinnati with a decisive attacking edge at a crucial time.
- – .
- – Tactical Transition: Chicago is still adapting to Berhalter's new system
- – , which typically requires time to fully implement—a vulnerability Cincinnati can exploit.
- – .
- – Key Absences: Cincinnati missing Miles Robinson (international duty), Nick Hagglund (chest), and Yuya Kubo (ankle)
- – weakens their defensive structure significantly.
Risk Assessment
Risk Level
Medium
Main Risk
Chicago Fire arrives "with a thirst for revenge against the Orange and Blue" after previous defeats, potentially inspiring an upset performance. - Confidence Score: 7
Confidence
7/10
Analysis generated on: July 4, 2025 23:05 UTC
Data sources reviewed: 4
Bookmakers Odds
1xBet Featured Odds
Match Winner
Home
1.88
Draw
4.00
Away
3.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.85
Odds provided by 1xBet. Please gamble responsibly. 18+
Match Winner
Home
1.88
Draw
4.00
Away
3.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.85
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.25
Over 2.5
1.43
Under 2.5
2.60
Over 3.5
2.05
Under 3.5
1.68
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
16.00
Over 4.5
3.30
Under 4.5
1.28
Over 5.5
6.00
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
11.00
Under 6.5
1.03
Match Winner
Home
1.89
Draw
4.20
Away
3.45
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.18
Draw/Away
1.90
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.75
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.75
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.73
Over 4.5
3.45
Under 4.5
1.30
Over 5.5
6.25
Under 5.5
1.11
Match Winner
Home
1.91
Draw
3.90
Away
3.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.91
Match Winner
Home
1.90
Draw
4.20
Away
3.30
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.33
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.91
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
6.00
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.70
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
21.00
Over 8.5
51.00
Under 8.5
1.00
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.28
Over 7.5
26.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
13.00
Under 6.5
1.04
Match Winner
Home
1.88
Draw
4.15
Away
3.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.92
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.08
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 1.75
1.10
Under 1.75
5.10
Over 2.0
1.12
Under 2.0
4.65
Over 2.25
1.26
Under 2.25
3.26
Over 2.5
1.40
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 2.75
1.49
Under 2.75
2.40
Over 3.5
2.12
Under 3.5
1.72
Over 3.0
1.63
Under 3.0
2.13
Over 4.5
3.32
Under 4.5
1.26
Over 3.25
1.86
Under 3.25
1.86
Over 3.75
2.36
Under 3.75
1.53
Over 4.0
2.79
Under 4.0
1.38
Over 4.25
3.08
Under 4.25
1.31
Over 4.75
4.05
Under 4.75
1.17
Over 5.0
5.30
Under 5.0
1.09
Over 5.5
5.95
Under 5.5
1.07
Over 5.25
5.65
Under 5.25
1.08
Over 6.0
9.30
Under 6.0
1.00
Match Winner
Home
1.91
Draw
3.90
Away
3.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.91
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.75
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 2.75
1.49
Under 2.75
2.60
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
19.00
Over 3.0
1.61
Under 3.0
2.30
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 3.25
1.83
Under 3.25
1.96
Over 3.75
2.33
Under 3.75
1.58
Over 4.0
2.80
Under 4.0
1.43
Over 4.25
3.05
Under 4.25
1.36
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
14.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Match Winner
Home
1.91
Draw
4.10
Away
3.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
6.00
Over 2.5
1.40
Under 2.5
2.80
Over 3.5
2.05
Under 3.5
1.73
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 4.5
3.40
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 5.5
7.00
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
12.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Match Winner
Home
1.94
Draw
4.20
Away
3.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 3.5
2.07
Under 3.5
1.83
Over 3.0
1.81
Under 3.0
2.09
Over 3.25
1.94
Under 3.25
1.96
Over 3.75
2.19
Under 3.75
1.71
Match Winner
Home
1.90
Draw
4.20
Away
3.45
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.90
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.10
Over 2.0
1.22
Under 2.0
4.30
Over 2.5
1.48
Under 2.5
2.65
Over 3.5
2.12
Under 3.5
1.72
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 1.0
1.04
Under 1.0
11.50
Over 3.0
1.70
Under 3.0
2.15
Over 4.5
3.60
Under 4.5
1.30
Over 4.0
2.95
Under 4.0
1.40
Over 5.0
5.60
Under 5.0
1.14
Over 5.5
6.30
Under 5.5
1.12
Match Winner
Home
1.96
Draw
4.26
Away
3.46
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.14
Under 1.5
6.21
Over 2.5
1.45
Under 2.5
2.82
Over 2.75
1.55
Under 2.75
2.54
Over 3.5
2.17
Under 3.5
1.74
Over 3.0
1.69
Under 3.0
2.23
Over 4.5
3.72
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 3.25
1.95
Under 3.25
1.93
Over 3.75
2.49
Under 3.75
1.57
Over 4.0
2.78
Under 4.0
1.47
Over 5.5
6.97
Under 5.5
1.12
Match Winner
Home
1.92
Draw
3.78
Away
3.28
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.26
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
1.90
Goals Over/Under
Over 3.5
2.21
Under 3.5
1.68
Over 3.0
1.68
Under 3.0
2.21
Over 3.25
1.88
Under 3.25
1.98
Over 3.75
2.33
Under 3.75
1.61
Match Winner
Home
1.98
Draw
4.25
Away
3.50
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.34
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.88
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.15
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 2.25
1.39
Under 2.25
3.10
Over 2.5
1.47
Under 2.5
2.75
Over 2.75
1.57
Under 2.75
2.47
Over 3.5
2.18
Under 3.5
1.72
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 3.0
1.72
Under 3.0
2.18
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.31
Over 3.25
1.95
Under 3.25
1.90
Over 3.75
2.47
Under 3.75
1.57
Over 4.0
3.00
Under 4.0
1.42
Over 4.25
2.95
Under 4.25
1.42
Over 7.5
15.00
Under 7.5
1.02
Over 5.5
6.10
Under 5.5
1.13
Over 6.5
10.25
Under 6.5
1.05
Match Winner
Home
1.91
Draw
4.00
Away
3.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.88
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 2.5
1.42
Under 2.5
2.62
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 4.5
3.30
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 5.5
5.75
Under 5.5
1.10
Over 6.5
10.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Match Winner
Home
1.83
Draw
4.10
Away
3.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
1.87
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.09
Under 1.5
5.80
Over 2.5
1.40
Under 2.5
2.70
Over 3.5
2.00
Under 3.5
1.70
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.07
Match Winner
Home
1.91
Draw
3.90
Away
3.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.91
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.75
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
19.00
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.29
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.11
Match Winner
Home
1.92
Draw
4.15
Away
3.45
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
1.46
Under 2.5
2.78
Over 2.75
1.56
Under 2.75
2.51
Over 3.5
2.20
Under 3.5
1.73
Over 3.0
1.68
Under 3.0
2.28
Over 3.25
1.96
Under 3.25
1.94
Over 3.75
2.47
Under 3.75
1.58
Over 4.0
2.96
Under 4.0
1.41
Over 4.25
3.00
Under 4.25
1.37
Match Winner
Home
1.90
Draw
4.15
Away
3.55
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
1.92
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
6.10
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.82
Over 3.5
2.07
Under 3.5
1.76
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
20.00
Over 4.5
3.45
Under 4.5
1.32
Over 5.5
6.20
Under 5.5
1.13
Over 6.5
12.00
Under 6.5
1.04
Main Factors Weight Scores
Head to Head Score
Home
7.31
Away
4.24
Tactical Analysis
Home
3.94
Away
10.00
Recent Teams Form Score
Home
6.11
Away
3.89
Home vs Away Strength
Home
0.00
Away
0.00
Defensive Strength
Home
7.42
Away
5.10
Attacking Strength
Home
2.96
Away
2.57
Home Advantage
Home
5.50
Away
8.44
Motivation
Home
6.42
Away
5.17
League Position
Home
6.30
Away
4.05
Injuries and Suspension
Home
0.00
Away
0.00
Weather Impact
Home
5.00
Away
5.00