Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes

Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer

USA : Regular Season - 22

July 13, 2025

2025-07-13 00:30 UTC

Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

Home

4

vs

1

Match Finished

San Jose Earthquakes

Away

San Jose Earthquakes

Venue: Allianz Field, Saint Paul, Minnesota

Referee: Ismir Pekmic

Recommended Bet

Home/Draw Win

Prediction Outcome

WON

AI Expert Analysis

Powered by the latest market data & analysis models

Prediction Summary

  • Result: Home Win (68%)

  • Goals: Home [2.3]

  • Away [0.9]

  • Reasoning: Minnesota's disciplined low-block defensive system and counter-attacking philosophy under Eric Ramsay perfectly exploits San Jose's vulnerability when facing organized defenses, as shown in their recent 10-man loss to SKC .

Recommended Bets

. Minnesota United Win

The Loons are in excellent form with a recent 3-1 win over Chicago and 2-1 victory over Dallas

, while

San Jose's current 8th place Western Conference position

reflects their inconsistency despite Arena's improvements.

. Under 3.5 Goals

Minnesota's defensive approach focuses on sitting in a low block

and with

San Jose missing midfielder Hernán López to injury

, goal-scoring opportunities should be limited.

Value Opportunity

Minnesota Clean Sheet

Minnesota is averaging the least possession in MLS but excelling defensively through disciplined collective defending , while San Jose's defensive frailties remain evident despite Arena's arrival .

Critical Factors

  • – .
  • – Hernán López's shoulder surgery sidelines San Jose's key midfielder for 3-4 months
  • – , severely disrupting their ability to control the midfield and transition play.
  • – .
  • – Eric Ramsay, at 32 the youngest coach in MLS history, has implemented a revolutionary tactical system
  • – that has
  • – delivered Minnesota's best-ever start to an MLS season
  • –
  • – .
  • – Bruce Arena's San Jose started strongly with two wins but their recent form suggests the honeymoon period is over
  • – , with
  • – Arena's rigid rotation policy causing rhythm disruptions
  • –

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Low

Main Risk

Josef Martínez's quality (117 MLS goals) could produce a moment of individual brilliance that breaks Minnesota's organized defensive structure. - Confidence Score: 8

Confidence

8/10

Analysis generated on: July 10, 2025 03:55 UTC

Data sources reviewed: 4

Bookmakers Odds

1xBet Featured Odds

Match Winner

Home
1.93
Draw
3.70
Away
3.50

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.29
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
1.82

Odds provided by 1xBet. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

Match Winner

Home
1.93
Draw
3.70
Away
3.50

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.29
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
1.82

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.15
Under 1.5
4.80
Over 2.5
1.49
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 3.5
2.15
Under 3.5
1.60
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
13.50
Over 4.5
3.60
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.10
Over 6.5
12.50
Under 6.5
1.03

Match Winner

Home
1.88
Draw
3.85
Away
3.70

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 2.5
1.50
Under 2.5
2.50
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.62
Over 4.5
3.85
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 5.5
7.00
Under 5.5
1.09

Match Winner

Home
1.85
Draw
3.80
Away
3.70

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.91

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
3.90
Away
3.60

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.14
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 2.5
1.50
Under 2.5
2.50
Over 3.5
2.20
Under 3.5
1.62
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
19.00
Over 8.5
51.00
Under 8.5
1.00
Over 4.5
3.75
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 7.5
29.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
7.00
Under 5.5
1.10
Over 6.5
15.00
Under 6.5
1.03

Match Winner

Home
1.86
Draw
4.05
Away
3.72

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.24
Draw/Away
1.94

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
4.90
Over 1.75
1.14
Under 1.75
4.45
Over 2.0
1.17
Under 2.0
4.05
Over 2.25
1.31
Under 2.25
2.96
Over 2.5
1.46
Under 2.5
2.44
Over 2.75
1.57
Under 2.75
2.22
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.64
Over 3.0
1.74
Under 3.0
1.97
Over 4.5
3.62
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 3.25
1.98
Under 3.25
1.75
Over 3.75
2.52
Under 3.75
1.47
Over 4.0
3.08
Under 4.0
1.32
Over 4.25
3.32
Under 4.25
1.27
Over 4.75
4.40
Under 4.75
1.15
Over 5.0
5.75
Under 5.0
1.07
Over 5.5
6.30
Under 5.5
1.06
Over 5.25
6.05
Under 5.25
1.06
Over 6.0
9.70
Under 6.0
1.00

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
3.95
Away
3.45

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.88

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.75
Over 2.5
1.48
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 2.75
1.60
Under 2.75
2.32
Over 3.5
2.23
Under 3.5
1.65
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 3.0
1.76
Under 3.0
2.05
Over 4.5
4.10
Under 4.5
1.23
Over 3.25
2.00
Under 3.25
1.79
Over 3.75
2.55
Under 3.75
1.49
Over 4.0
3.20
Under 4.0
1.34
Over 5.5
8.00
Under 5.5
1.07

Match Winner

Home
1.85
Draw
3.75
Away
3.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.60
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 4.5
4.00
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 5.5
7.50
Under 5.5
1.07
Over 6.5
13.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.90
Draw
3.95
Away
3.65

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.0
1.85
Under 3.0
2.05
Over 3.25
2.04
Under 3.25
1.86

Match Winner

Home
1.85
Draw
4.05
Away
3.75

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.27
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 2.0
1.23
Under 2.0
4.15
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.50
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.65
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 1.0
1.04
Under 1.0
11.50
Over 3.0
1.80
Under 3.0
2.00
Over 4.5
3.90
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 4.0
3.20
Under 4.0
1.35
Over 5.0
6.10
Under 5.0
1.13
Over 5.5
7.00
Under 5.5
1.10

Match Winner

Home
1.92
Draw
4.03
Away
3.77

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.16
Under 1.5
5.52
Over 2.5
1.52
Under 2.5
2.58
Over 2.75
1.65
Under 2.75
2.32
Over 3.5
2.31
Under 3.5
1.64
Over 3.0
1.83
Under 3.0
2.06
Over 4.5
4.03
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 3.25
2.07
Under 3.25
1.80
Over 3.75
2.62
Under 3.75
1.53
Over 5.5
7.47
Under 5.5
1.11

Match Winner

Home
1.87
Draw
3.74
Away
3.50

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.23
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
1.96

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.75
1.61
Under 2.75
2.33
Over 3.5
2.28
Under 3.5
1.64
Over 3.0
1.83
Under 3.0
2.03
Over 3.25
2.05
Under 3.25
1.81

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
4.05
Away
3.95

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.29
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.10
Over 2.25
1.38
Under 2.25
3.15
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.57
Over 2.75
1.65
Under 2.75
2.32
Over 3.5
2.30
Under 3.5
1.65
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 3.0
1.82
Under 3.0
2.05
Over 4.5
3.75
Under 4.5
1.27
Over 3.25
2.05
Under 3.25
1.82
Over 3.75
2.62
Under 3.75
1.52
Over 4.0
3.15
Under 4.0
1.38
Over 7.5
16.00
Under 7.5
1.02
Over 5.5
6.60
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
11.25
Under 6.5
1.04

Match Winner

Home
2.00
Draw
3.90
Away
3.35

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.33
Home/Away
1.26
Draw/Away
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.14
Under 1.5
5.75
Over 2.5
1.51
Under 2.5
2.60
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.66
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 4.5
3.85
Under 4.5
1.27
Over 5.5
6.90
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
14.00
Under 6.5
1.03

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
3.80
Away
3.50

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.88

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 2.5
1.50
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 3.5
2.20
Under 3.5
1.62
Over 4.5
3.60
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 5.5
6.00
Under 5.5
1.09
Over 6.5
11.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.83
Draw
3.70
Away
3.70

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
5.30
Over 2.5
1.47
Under 2.5
2.45
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.65
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 4.5
3.90
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 5.5
7.50
Under 5.5
1.05

Match Winner

Home
1.91
Draw
3.80
Away
3.60

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.15
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 2.5
1.50
Under 2.5
2.50
Over 3.5
2.20
Under 3.5
1.62
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 4.5
3.80
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 5.5
7.00
Under 5.5
1.10

Match Winner

Home
1.93
Draw
3.80
Away
3.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5
1.51
Under 2.5
2.63
Over 2.75
1.63
Under 2.75
2.36
Over 3.5
2.29
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 3.0
1.81
Under 3.0
2.09
Over 3.25
2.08
Under 3.25
1.82
Over 3.75
2.63
Under 3.75
1.51
Over 4.0
3.17
Under 4.0
1.36

Main Factors Weight Scores

Head to Head Score

Home

8.46

Away

2.97

Tactical Analysis

Home

2.50

Away

10.00

Recent Teams Form Score

Home

5.84

Away

4.16

Home vs Away Strength

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Defensive Strength

Home

6.32

Away

4.78

Attacking Strength

Home

2.88

Away

2.81

Home Advantage

Home

5.50

Away

7.27

Motivation

Home

4.93

Away

4.91

League Position

Home

5.16

Away

3.26

Injuries and Suspension

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Weather Impact

Home

5.00

Away

5.00

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