San Diego vs Houston Dynamo

Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer

USA : Regular Season - 21

July 6, 2025

2025-07-06 02:30 UTC

San Diego

San Diego

Home

3

vs

4

Match Finished

Houston Dynamo

Away

Houston Dynamo

Venue: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

Referee: Timothy Ford

Recommended Bet

Home/Draw Win

Prediction Outcome

LOST

AI Expert Analysis

Powered by the latest market data & analysis models

Prediction Summary

  • Result: Home Win (70%)

  • Goals: Home [2.5]

  • Away [0.9]

  • Reasoning: San Diego have come from behind in three of their last five wins and sit top of the Western Conference after eight wins in their last 10 MLS matches , while Houston ended a three-game losing streak by beating St. Louis City SC 1-0 and sit 10th in the West, just outside the playoff places .

Recommended Bets

. San Diego FC Win & Over 2.5 Goals

San Diego have come from behind in three of their last five wins and Angel scored the 96th-minute winner against Dallas

, showcasing their late-game mentality and attacking depth against a struggling Houston defense.

. Both Teams to Score - No

San Diego have won both of their home matches against teams from Texas with a 5-0 win against FC Dallas and a 2-0 victory versus Austin FC

, demonstrating defensive solidity at home against Texas opposition.

Value Opportunity

San Diego FC -1.5 Asian Handicap

Houston have lost 10 of their 18 matches against MLS expansion teams since 2015, the most losses to such clubs by any MLS team , suggesting the market may underestimate San Diego's psychological advantage as an expansion team.

Critical Factors

  • .
  • Ben Olsen fumed that he was prepared to make "bold" changes to his Houston Dynamo team after falling to a 3-1 defeat to CF Montreal, saying "Just not good enough. It was poor. Our energy wasn't right"
  • - indicating internal turmoil and potential lineup disruption.
  • .
  • San Diego FC has been dealt a severe blow with key midfielder Alvarado and attacking midfielder sidelined for the remainder of the season, with Alvarado known for his remarkable passing and defensive abilities
  • - major injury concerns despite their strong form.
  • .
  • Angel said: "They've always said that the game doesn't finish until the referee whistles, and I always try to be calm and thinking that there's an opportunity that's going to come. I think it's just being calm and thinking that whatever ball is loose, try to score"
  • - San Diego's superior mentality and composure in crucial moments.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Medium

Main Risk

San Diego FC OUT: Alejandro Alvarado Jr (lower body), Luca De La Torre (international duty), Hamady Diop (lower body), Anibal Godoy (international duty), Marcus Ingvartsen (lower body), Willy Kumado (lower body), Pa

Confidence

6/10

Analysis generated on: July 4, 2025 23:15 UTC

Data sources reviewed: 3

Bookmakers Odds

Match Winner

Home
1.60
Draw
4.20
Away
4.80

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.19
Under 1.5
4.33
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
2.20
Over 3.5
2.40
Under 3.5
1.49
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
12.50
Over 4.5
4.20
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 5.5
7.75
Under 5.5
1.07
Over 6.5
15.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.59
Draw
4.20
Away
5.10

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.18
Draw/Away
2.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.20
Under 1.5
4.50
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 3.5
2.55
Under 3.5
1.50
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
11.00
Over 4.5
4.33
Under 4.5
1.20

Match Winner

Home
1.62
Draw
4.00
Away
5.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.30

Match Winner

Home
1.60
Draw
4.20
Away
5.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.50
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 3.5
2.50
Under 3.5
1.50
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 4.5
4.33
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 7.5
34.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
9.00
Under 5.5
1.07
Over 6.5
19.00
Under 6.5
1.02

Match Winner

Home
1.58
Draw
4.33
Away
5.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.16
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.38

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
4.75
Over 1.75
1.17
Under 1.75
4.25
Over 2.0
1.23
Under 2.0
3.70
Over 2.25
1.40
Under 2.25
2.76
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.33
Over 2.75
1.72
Under 2.75
2.02
Over 3.5
2.44
Under 3.5
1.46
Over 1.0
1.01
Under 1.0
8.90
Over 1.25
1.05
Under 1.25
6.80
Over 3.0
1.93
Under 3.0
1.77
Over 4.5
4.45
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 3.25
2.20
Under 3.25
1.58
Over 3.75
2.88
Under 3.75
1.33
Over 4.0
3.70
Under 4.0
1.20
Over 4.25
4.05
Under 4.25
1.16
Over 4.75
5.65
Under 4.75
1.08
Over 5.0
8.10
Under 5.0
1.02
Over 5.5
9.00
Under 5.5
1.00

Match Winner

Home
1.57
Draw
4.20
Away
5.40

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.16
Home/Away
1.23
Draw/Away
2.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
4.80
Over 2.25
1.45
Under 2.25
2.70
Over 2.5
1.63
Under 2.5
2.25
Over 2.75
1.78
Under 2.75
2.02
Over 3.5
2.63
Under 3.5
1.48
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 3.0
2.02
Under 3.0
1.77
Over 4.5
5.10
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 3.25
2.32
Under 3.25
1.60
Over 3.75
3.05
Under 3.75
1.36
Over 5.5
10.50
Under 5.5
1.04

Match Winner

Home
1.53
Draw
4.10
Away
5.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.14
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 3.5
2.50
Under 3.5
1.50
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
4.50
Under 4.5
1.18
Over 5.5
8.50
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.01

Match Winner

Home
1.60
Draw
4.35
Away
5.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.75
1.83
Under 2.75
2.07
Over 3.0
2.02
Under 3.0
1.88

Match Winner

Home
1.60
Draw
4.30
Away
5.20

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.16
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.90
Over 2.0
1.25
Under 2.0
3.85
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 3.5
2.45
Under 3.5
1.55
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 1.0
1.05
Under 1.0
10.50
Over 3.0
1.95
Under 3.0
1.85
Over 4.5
4.20
Under 4.5
1.23
Over 4.0
3.55
Under 4.0
1.30

Match Winner

Home
1.62
Draw
4.37
Away
5.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.19
Under 1.5
4.89
Over 2.25
1.47
Under 2.25
2.79
Over 2.5
1.62
Under 2.5
2.37
Over 2.75
1.77
Under 2.75
2.11
Over 3.5
2.58
Under 3.5
1.53
Over 3.0
2.03
Under 3.0
1.86
Over 4.5
4.67
Under 4.5
1.21
Over 3.25
2.30
Under 3.25
1.66

Match Winner

Home
1.55
Draw
4.09
Away
5.03

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.19
Draw/Away
2.32

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5
1.63
Under 2.5
2.29
Over 2.75
1.74
Under 2.75
2.13
Over 3.0
2.02
Under 3.0
1.84
Over 3.25
2.33
Under 3.25
1.61

Match Winner

Home
1.65
Draw
4.45
Away
5.20

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.19
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
4.45
Over 2.0
1.35
Under 2.0
3.30
Over 2.25
1.47
Under 2.25
2.77
Over 2.5
1.65
Under 2.5
2.32
Over 2.75
1.80
Under 2.75
2.07
Over 3.5
2.57
Under 3.5
1.53
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
11.25
Over 3.0
2.02
Under 3.0
1.82
Over 4.5
4.40
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 3.25
2.30
Under 3.25
1.65
Over 3.75
3.05
Under 3.75
1.40
Over 5.5
7.90
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
13.00
Under 6.5
1.03

Match Winner

Home
1.60
Draw
4.20
Away
4.75

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.18
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.33
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
2.25
Over 3.5
2.40
Under 3.5
1.50
Over 0.5
1.00
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 4.5
4.00
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 5.5
8.00
Under 5.5
1.05

Match Winner

Home
1.55
Draw
4.20
Away
4.90

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.10
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
2.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.14
Under 1.5
4.70
Over 2.5
1.55
Under 2.5
2.25
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.55
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 4.5
3.70
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 5.5
8.50
Under 5.5
1.03

Match Winner

Home
1.62
Draw
4.00
Away
5.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
4.80
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 3.5
2.45
Under 3.5
1.53
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 4.5
4.20
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 5.5
8.50
Under 5.5
1.06

Match Winner

Home
1.60
Draw
4.35
Away
5.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.0
1.26
Under 2.0
3.77
Over 2.25
1.43
Under 2.25
2.88
Over 2.5
1.61
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 2.75
1.72
Under 2.75
2.21
Over 3.5
2.56
Under 3.5
1.54
Over 3.0
2.01
Under 3.0
1.89
Over 3.25
2.29
Under 3.25
1.67

Match Winner

Home
1.62
Draw
4.30
Away
5.00

Double Chance

Home/Draw
1.18
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.5
1.19
Under 1.5
4.70
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.37
Over 3.5
2.47
Under 3.5
1.55
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
16.00
Over 4.5
4.55
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 5.5
8.20
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.02

Main Factors Weight Scores

Head to Head Score

Home

5.78

Away

4.92

Tactical Analysis

Home

5.10

Away

10.00

Recent Teams Form Score

Home

5.38

Away

4.62

Home vs Away Strength

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Defensive Strength

Home

6.20

Away

5.13

Attacking Strength

Home

3.22

Away

2.04

Home Advantage

Home

5.50

Away

6.34

Motivation

Home

4.49

Away

5.20

League Position

Home

5.92

Away

2.86

Injuries and Suspension

Home

0.00

Away

0.00

Weather Impact

Home

5.00

Away

5.00

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